H3XA — Operational Evidence

Stress69situation headline

Episodes17

ClassService Blocking

Modelh3xa-iss-1.1

Record

Episode starts

Each mark is an episode start. Situation stress 69 follows the active episode, or the latest episode when every episode is resolved. Source: this situation's briefing pack, from the first episode start through the latest.

2026-07-25 22:00asn AS206065 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-25 22:30asn AS206065 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-25 22:30asn AS206065 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 30
2026-07-25 23:10asn AS206065 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-26 06:55asn AS198154 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 30
2026-07-26 07:10asn AS198154 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-28 14:30asn AS204104 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 30
2026-07-28 14:30asn AS51026 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 30
2026-07-28 14:30asn AS44285 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 30
2026-07-29 10:00asn AS204104 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-29 10:00asn AS44285 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-29 10:00asn AS204104 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-29 10:00asn AS44285 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-29 10:00asn AS51026 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-29 10:00asn AS51026 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-07-29 10:00asn AS44285 · UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION · stress 31
2026-08-10 00:00country IR · SERVICE_BLOCKING · stress 69

Score

How the stress points are made

Points = weight × component × 100, on a 0–100 track. Model h3xa-iss-1.1. Source: the latest derivation stored for each episode.

Anomaly
Breadth
Persistence
Corroboration
Baseline deviation

asn AS206065 · 2026-07-25 22:00stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS206065 · 2026-07-25 22:30stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS206065 · 2026-07-25 22:30stored stress 30

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS206065 · 2026-07-25 23:10stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS198154 · 2026-07-26 06:55stored stress 30

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS198154 · 2026-07-26 07:10stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS204104 · 2026-07-28 14:30stored stress 30

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS51026 · 2026-07-28 14:30stored stress 30

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS44285 · 2026-07-28 14:30stored stress 30

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS204104 · 2026-07-29 10:00stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS44285 · 2026-07-29 10:00stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS204104 · 2026-07-29 10:00stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS44285 · 2026-07-29 10:00stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS51026 · 2026-07-29 10:00stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS51026 · 2026-07-29 10:00stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

asn AS44285 · 2026-07-29 10:00stored stress 31

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

country IR · 2026-08-10 00:00stored stress 69

Component	Value	Weight	Points
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.0
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.0
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.0
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.0
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.0

Provenance

Observation to derivation

Each episode cites the source observation and the derivation that scored it. Situation sit-de3b4c840cca571f723ebdf7.

Observation

FDI -- Tehranioda · e3e179c0d2cc

Episode

asn AS206065ise-e4c0f948900ad04c62453cd4 · 2026-07-25 22:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

FDI -- Iran (Islamic Republic Of)ioda · 459f457023af

Episode

asn AS206065ise-b66d29a6685615e6cb9ddad0 · 2026-07-25 22:30

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

AS206065 (FDI)ioda · f861be78dad9

Episode

asn AS206065ise-18ab34e93357d2648f1987fc · 2026-07-25 22:30

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

FDI -- Farsioda · 12ca32cdd63b

Episode

asn AS206065ise-5ccfd4464b975e478135764b · 2026-07-25 23:10

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

AS198154 (parsabr)ioda · 6ff9ceb96897

Episode

asn AS198154ise-9c519d212d850ba213b184f9 · 2026-07-26 06:55

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

parsabr -- Iran (Islamic Republic Of)ioda · 6374e48fba0e

Episode

asn AS198154ise-8dbb73c180c021e49dc1c3c5 · 2026-07-26 07:10

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

AS204104 (GITI-AS)ioda · acda4bba1456

Episode

asn AS204104ise-21d610054192e2b5eebdbba5 · 2026-07-28 14:30

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

AS51026 (MobinhostInfrastructure)ioda · 5545202d2817

Episode

asn AS51026ise-220bda06a080a5dec0dc1c81 · 2026-07-28 14:30

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

AS44285 (SEFROYEKPARDAZENG-AS)ioda · 08aba26d5fc6

Episode

asn AS44285ise-5259af4d72b013be8037049e · 2026-07-28 14:30

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

GITI-AS -- Farsioda · b8e27814494f

Episode

asn AS204104ise-9dfee63c07cb4ae39eb88366 · 2026-07-29 10:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

SEFROYEKPARDAZENG-AS -- Iran (Islamic Republic Of)ioda · 523261356e5d

Episode

asn AS44285ise-b6a9de5c27d9cf2ca649fb16 · 2026-07-29 10:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

GITI-AS -- Iran (Islamic Republic Of)ioda · 3413f40037b6

Episode

asn AS204104ise-e335b78fa69af348444855d3 · 2026-07-29 10:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

SEFROYEKPARDAZENG-AS -- Farsioda · 4a0b67bbf621

Episode

asn AS44285ise-15b30b85eb90f77ad32eec8a · 2026-07-29 10:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

MobinhostInfrastructure -- Farsioda · abffa83a5242

Episode

asn AS51026ise-24c83bb28d50a5fd91276f23 · 2026-07-29 10:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

MobinhostInfrastructure -- Iran (Islamic Republic Of)ioda · 77c2ba48ad7d

Episode

asn AS51026ise-471b877728d0724d9e30edec · 2026-07-29 10:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

SEFROYEKPARDAZENG-AS -- Tehranioda · fbd295acbf5e

Episode

asn AS44285ise-8938ed1507e647628608d45f · 2026-07-29 10:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Observation

Pre-protest restrictionsvoidly-atlas · 16b511b20351

Mahsa Amini protests internet shutdownvoidly-atlas · b28f741d36b6

Mahsa Amini protests internet shutdownvoidly-atlas · c67ea03c2604

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · c066fb17818d

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 27b9bd22ea46

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 3635a94199d6

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · ee822c332460

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 9ffb4b38019a

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 68f2f77fadab

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · f50cf75553a5

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 5129d75c451f

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 05a4a772ac54

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 8020ab47b958

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 89561740703d

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · ad95e9d746b5

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · a07ba193a6af

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 3d15442187fc

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 82c2c360e35b

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 78ce17b5f95e

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · a9e4cae93e4c

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · ab0d6ae6a110

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 94632302e7da

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 7c2e840f81c7

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 135553210ddb

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 936c7757dc1b

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · f818ab927894

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · b1d8bde8e2e7

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 345fa9cf8cb0

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 220f2fb06696

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 489ae2f93c99

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · c3a3b4e55238

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · a2797d8e1545

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · a122e32c46c3

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · 785c8b56ab72

Censorship detected in IRvoidly-atlas · 31a0db48dd64

Internet connectivity disruption in Iranvoidly-atlas · ca42e8f8ab1e

Episode

country IRise-86c7b249c3567b1d2b796c66 · 2026-08-10 00:00

Derivation

UnwrittenNo derivation row

Comparison

Episodes side by side

Same situation, one column per episode, ordered by start time. Component values are the 0–1 inputs to the weighted score.

Measure	asn AS206065 2026-07-25 22:00	asn AS206065 2026-07-25 22:30	asn AS206065 2026-07-25 22:30	asn AS206065 2026-07-25 23:10	asn AS198154 2026-07-26 06:55	asn AS198154 2026-07-26 07:10	asn AS204104 2026-07-28 14:30	asn AS51026 2026-07-28 14:30	asn AS44285 2026-07-28 14:30	asn AS204104 2026-07-29 10:00	asn AS44285 2026-07-29 10:00	asn AS204104 2026-07-29 10:00	asn AS44285 2026-07-29 10:00	asn AS51026 2026-07-29 10:00	asn AS51026 2026-07-29 10:00	asn AS44285 2026-07-29 10:00	country IR 2026-08-10 00:00
Classification	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION	SERVICE_BLOCKING
Stress	31	31	30	31	30	31	30	30	30	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	69
Confidence	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	15%
Status	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved	resolved
Anomaly	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Breadth	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Persistence	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Corroboration	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Baseline deviation	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Baseline n	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none	none

Record

Outage reporting

Outage reporting for Iran is read from NetBlocks, Cloudflare, and Internet Society Pulse. A note is attached when it names this place and falls in this month. It is not an observation, and it does not change the stress score. Fetched 2026-10-28 17:09.

NetBlocksNo NetBlocks report names Iran.
Cloudflare5 Cloudflare outage notes name Iran. Radar entries are not connected on this deployment.
Internet Society PulseInternet Society Pulse is not connected on this deployment.

Cloudflare · 2026-10-27 13:00What took the Internet offline in Q3 2026An examination of global Internet disruptions observed by Cloudflare Radar during the third quarter of 2026. This review analyzes how power failures, natural disasters, and government shutdowns impacted network connectivity and traffic.
Cloudflare · 2026-07-28 13:00Natural disasters and government interference: examining Q2 2026’s major Internet disruption eventsCloudflare Radar tracked Internet disruptions driven by natural disasters, government-mandated shutdowns, and DNSSEC key rollovers over the last quarter. This post analyzes traffic telemetry to explain how these events impacted global conne
Cloudflare · 2026-04-28 13:00Shutdowns, power outages, and conflict: a review of Q1 2026 Internet disruptionsThe first quarter of 2026 saw a surge in Internet disruptions, from nationwide shutdowns in Uganda and Iran to unprecedented drone strikes on cloud infrastructure. We explore the data behind these events using Cloudflare Radar.
Cloudflare · 2025-12-15 14:00The 2025 Cloudflare Radar Year in Review: The rise of AI, post-quantum, and record-breaking DDoS attacksWe present our 6th annual review of Internet trends and patterns observed across the globe, revealing the disruptions, advances and metrics that defined 2025.
Cloudflare · 2025-10-28 12:00Online outages: Q3 2025 Internet disruption summaryIn Q3 2025, we observed Internet disruptions around the world resulting from government directed shutdowns, power outages, cable cuts, a cyberattack, an earthquake, a fire, and technical problems, as well as several with unexplained causes.

Headlines

Headlines for Iran from Google News. Public headlines are not an observation, and they do not change the stress score.

Hokanews · 2026-10-28 16:48Iran Bitcoin Activity Rebounds to 75% of Baseline Despite Internet Blackout, Chainalysis Reports
www.tokenpost.com · 2026-10-27 18:09Iran’s Bitcoin Transaction Activity Fell About 80% at Start of Blackout, Then Rebounded
CryptoSlate · 2026-10-27 18:00Iran-linked Bitcoin activity fell about 80%, then rebounded during the blackout
Newsband · 2026-10-24 10:44Iran’s threat to Gulf undersea cables raises internet disruption fears
The Times of India · 2026-10-23 20:37Iran Threatens U.S. Blackout After Trump's Hormuz Threat; Amazon, Google & Nvidia On Notice
Bloomberg.com · 2026-09-11 07:00How Iran Built Its System of Internet Censorship
Iran International · 2026-08-06 07:00Iran threatened regional blackout if US struck its power plants - AFP
IranWire · 2026-07-17 07:00‘Every Hour Without Power is an Hour Without Income’: Life Under Iran’s Blackout Crisis
New Lines Magazine · 2026-07-01 07:00Iran’s Internet Blackout Was Decades in the Making
Iran International · 2026-06-11 07:00War damage adds new strain to Iran’s blackout-prone power grid
The Atlantic · 2026-06-05 07:00Iran’s Next Internet Blackout Is Inevitable
ACLED · 2026-05-27 17:47Why has Iran lifted the internet blackout now?
The Guardian · 2026-05-26 07:00Iran’s access to global internet starts to resume after 88-day blackout
BBC · 2026-05-26 07:00Iran internet starts coming back after months-long blackout
Iran International · 2026-05-26 07:00Iran restores internet after 88-day blackout, keeps social media blocked
EJIL: Talk! · 2026-05-20 07:00Sovereign Darkness: Iran’s Internet Blackout and the Four-Body Problem of International Law
Iran International · 2026-05-20 07:00How Iran’s blackout warps online picture of public opinion
Iran International · 2026-05-18 07:00Iran blackout hits 80th day as pro-regime content surges online, NetBlocks says

Setting

Collateral models

Attached air, maritime, reference-CTI, and proprietary nodes are co-occurrence notes. They are not inputs to the stress score.

No air track is attached to this record.

The reference catalog is attached so it can be read beside this situation. It is not an observation, and it is not an input to the stress score.

malwareNidiran

No supplier note matches this situation. Supplier notes stay outside the score.