{ "service": "h3xa", "kind": "executive-briefing", "generated_at": "2026-10-28T18:08:40.194Z", "model_version": "h3xa-iss-1.1", "situation": { "id": "sit-c7246ba1ae8fec12754c0837", "scope_type": "country", "scope_key": "RU", "geography": "RU", "title": "Internet disruption in RU", "started_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-10-03T04:05:00.000Z", "status": "active", "classification": "FULL_OUTAGE", "trajectory": "STABLE", "stress_score": 67, "confidence": 69, "event_count": 33, "affected_asns": [ "AS47541", "AS20485", "AS43727", "AS48287", "AS12846", "AS5573", "AS12722", "AS44533", "AS49505", "AS45054", "AS39134", "AS34552", "AS28709", "AS196742", "AS49476", "AS204720" ], "affected_services": [ "Web connectivity", "HTTPS", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp", "Facebook Messenger", "BBC", "Facebook", "Instagram", "Medium", "New York Times", "ChatGPT", "Claude", "Gemini", "ProtonVPN", "TikTok", "X", "YouTube" ], "affected_regions": [ "RU", "3480", "3472", "3438", "3423", "3459", "3418" ], "source_count": 2, "record_origin": "unrecorded", "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:30.345Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:37.930Z" }, "events": [ { "id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "entity_type": "country", "entity_key": "RU", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-10-03T04:05:00.000Z", "status": "active", "classification": "SERVICE_BLOCKING", "trajectory": "STABLE", "stress_score": 67, "confidence": 15, "components": { "anomaly": 1, "breadth": 0.5, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 0.7942585092976198 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.5, "statistical_significance": 1 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "voidly.anomaly_rate" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "voidly.anomaly_rate": 0.0142602495543672 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 1, "max_deviation": 0.7942585092976198 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS47541", "AS20485", "AS43727", "AS48287" ], "affected_services": [ "Web connectivity", "HTTPS", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp", "Facebook Messenger", "BBC", "Facebook", "Instagram", "Medium", "New York Times", "ChatGPT", "Claude", "Gemini", "ProtonVPN", "TikTok", "X", "YouTube" ], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "insufficient corroboration" ], "observation_count": 36, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:20.109Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:14.103Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--972380da-c68e-51d3-d5f3-a4433a188c2f", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2022-02-21T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Ukraine invasion - mass blocks", "value": "8ad002462cff", "content_hash": "ebb0f9a5493fa49a", "object_json": { "id": "incident--972380da-c68e-51d3-d5f3-a4433a188c2f", "name": "Ukraine invasion - mass blocks", "type": "incident", "title": "Ukraine invasion - mass blocks", "value": "8ad002462cff", "status": "confirmed", "sources": [ "OONI", "Voidly ML" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 86, "start_time": "2022-02-21T00:00:00Z", "description": "Anomaly rate: 79.4% (634 measurements).", "anomaly_rate": 0.7942585092976198, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "incident_type": "censorship", "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Web connectivity", "HTTPS" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--a2768311-0dca-5eb4-f60f-91886bd0929c", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2023-12-29T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Continued VPN/social media crackdown", "value": "105160179485", "content_hash": "286412ca26260075", "object_json": { "id": "incident--a2768311-0dca-5eb4-f60f-91886bd0929c", "name": "Continued VPN/social media crackdown", "type": "incident", "title": "Continued VPN/social media crackdown", "value": "105160179485", "status": "confirmed", "sources": [ "OONI", "Voidly ML" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 70, "start_time": "2023-12-29T00:00:00Z", "description": "Anomaly rate: 97.2% (6 measurements).", "anomaly_rate": 0.9718980684087525, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "incident_type": "censorship", "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Web connectivity", "HTTPS" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--61fe454d-6639-5c4a-e262-1e668969d9a9", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2025-01-01T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Continued VPN/social media crackdown", "value": "21ab4c05083f", "content_hash": "f02d63fd951f2e55", "object_json": { "id": "incident--61fe454d-6639-5c4a-e262-1e668969d9a9", "name": "Continued VPN/social media crackdown", "type": "incident", "title": "Continued VPN/social media crackdown", "value": "21ab4c05083f", "status": "confirmed", "sources": [ "OONI", "Voidly ML" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 95, "start_time": "2025-01-01T00:00:00Z", "description": "Anomaly rate: 100.0% (444192 measurements).", "anomaly_rate": 1, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "incident_type": "censorship", "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Web connectivity", "HTTPS" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--b3adc8b8-feef-53aa-5d9e-ffe1abb152fc", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-10T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3012", "content_hash": "0548f1de0378cab0", "object_json": { "id": "incident--b3adc8b8-feef-53aa-5d9e-ffe1abb152fc", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3012", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni" ], "end_time": "2026-08-10T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-08-10T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9826589595375722, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--358c35b9-d4f7-572b-57a2-11f8fbe3fc13", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-10T04:25:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3011", "content_hash": "9cf3bc13d0f1e355", "object_json": { "id": "incident--358c35b9-d4f7-572b-57a2-11f8fbe3fc13", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3011", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-08-10T04:25:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.0667779632721202, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--87fe6026-77de-5fb6-72a7-5fc0ca44857d", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3014", "content_hash": "30e127e89ade850d", "object_json": { "id": "incident--87fe6026-77de-5fb6-72a7-5fc0ca44857d", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3014", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni" ], "end_time": "2026-08-11T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9845758354755784, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--43b12eff-efed-51a1-5415-686ee2bf7278", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-11T12:40:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3013", "content_hash": "99d5b6e9c081770a", "object_json": { "id": "incident--43b12eff-efed-51a1-5415-686ee2bf7278", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3013", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-08-11T12:40:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.2536231884057971, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--d2353bf0-3183-5a31-aea2-0f53c72594ee", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-12T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3016", "content_hash": "8e60741b5556b7a4", "object_json": { "id": "incident--d2353bf0-3183-5a31-aea2-0f53c72594ee", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3016", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni", "censoredplanet" ], "end_time": "2026-08-12T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-08-12T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9696132596685083, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Facebook Messenger", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--bc8fabe1-2212-5797-ffac-dfa2d90be8ef", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-12T04:20:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3015", "content_hash": "44ad2870c0cff078", "object_json": { "id": "incident--bc8fabe1-2212-5797-ffac-dfa2d90be8ef", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3015", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-08-12T23:00:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-08-12T04:20:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.0392156862745098, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--ef8fb152-7e25-5500-ec87-3ac2b871218c", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-13T03:10:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3018", "content_hash": "07c5f65d894dde31", "object_json": { "id": "incident--ef8fb152-7e25-5500-ec87-3ac2b871218c", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3018", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-08-13T03:55:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 67, "start_time": "2026-08-13T03:10:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 2 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.028440488841657813, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--925cec8b-3da7-5760-81a4-15937ad4080d", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-27T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3058", "content_hash": "f8e706ca79a4a76c", "object_json": { "id": "incident--925cec8b-3da7-5760-81a4-15937ad4080d", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3058", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni", "censoredplanet" ], "end_time": "2026-08-27T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-08-27T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9855491329479769, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [ "AS47541" ], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": 23.9997, "affected_domains": [ "bbc.com", "facebook.com", "instagram.com", "medium.com", "nytimes.com" ], "affected_services": [ "BBC", "Facebook", "Facebook Messenger", "Instagram", "Medium", "New York Times", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--a1c7bb79-fdb0-51f4-fd0f-3e8c0196bf5d", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-27T17:55:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3057", "content_hash": "227831fb33962fd8", "object_json": { "id": "incident--a1c7bb79-fdb0-51f4-fd0f-3e8c0196bf5d", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3057", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-08-27T18:55:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 67, "start_time": "2026-08-27T17:55:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 2 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.014020096186877362, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": 1, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--69dcf051-754a-5216-4897-9edbd254ea42", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-28T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3061", "content_hash": "0cdfb43f0e3f72ba", "object_json": { "id": "incident--69dcf051-754a-5216-4897-9edbd254ea42", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3061", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni" ], "end_time": "2026-08-28T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 90, "start_time": "2026-08-28T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9887323943661972, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": 23.9997, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Facebook Messenger", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--f72e988e-c64f-5348-1911-6f51a94c0e24", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-28T19:15:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3060", "content_hash": "4ab97f6a3cc37f0a", "object_json": { "id": "incident--f72e988e-c64f-5348-1911-6f51a94c0e24", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3060", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-08-28T21:50:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 67, "start_time": "2026-08-28T19:15:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 2 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.07668670674682698, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": 2.5833, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--cc9c735f-6042-554b-1714-55862841044e", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-08-29T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3062", "content_hash": "69e3e436a3cadf5a", "object_json": { "id": "incident--cc9c735f-6042-554b-1714-55862841044e", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3062", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni" ], "end_time": "2026-08-29T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-08-29T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.984251968503937, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": 23.9997, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Facebook Messenger", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--4e6010b3-0067-50f8-166a-4b956c51ea11", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-23T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3124", "content_hash": "61817884e45c5594", "object_json": { "id": "incident--4e6010b3-0067-50f8-166a-4b956c51ea11", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3124", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni", "censoredplanet" ], "end_time": "2026-09-23T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-09-23T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9844961240310077, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [ "AS20485", "AS43727" ], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [ "bbc.com", "chat.openai.com", "chatgpt.com", "claude.ai", "facebook.com", "gemini.google.com", "getlantern.org", "google.com", "huggingface.co", "instagram.com", "medium.com", "nytimes.com", "openai.com", "protonvpn.com", "psiphon.ca", "reddit.com", "signal.org", "substack.com", "telegram.org", "theguardian.com", "tiktok.com", "tumblr.com", "twitter.com", "whatsapp.com", "youtube.com" ], "affected_services": [ "ChatGPT", "Claude", "Facebook", "Facebook Messenger", "Gemini", "Instagram", "ProtonVPN", "Signal", "Telegram", "TikTok", "Tor", "WhatsApp", "X", "YouTube" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--c43f1b0b-9a34-5ff1-2107-28dbf90402b4", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-23T09:50:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3123", "content_hash": "e91ca693ae53f663", "object_json": { "id": "incident--c43f1b0b-9a34-5ff1-2107-28dbf90402b4", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3123", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-09-23T18:10:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-09-23T09:50:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.029093931837073983, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": 8.3333, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--e4134f70-d520-5061-2243-0c094a3a2bfc", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-24T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3128", "content_hash": "b3ec6d0d3c32b1c3", "object_json": { "id": "incident--e4134f70-d520-5061-2243-0c094a3a2bfc", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3128", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni", "censoredplanet" ], "end_time": "2026-09-24T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-09-24T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9846938775510204, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [ "AS47541" ], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": 23.9997, "affected_domains": [ "bbc.com", "facebook.com", "instagram.com", "medium.com" ], "affected_services": [ "BBC", "Facebook", "Facebook Messenger", "Instagram", "Medium", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--6dffb24e-c747-5fe5-ad91-dee2b78f588a", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-24T21:25:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3127", "content_hash": "88dc533bc729893a", "object_json": { "id": "incident--6dffb24e-c747-5fe5-ad91-dee2b78f588a", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3127", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-09-24T23:15:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 67, "start_time": "2026-09-24T21:25:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 2 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.03169875811110523, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": 1.8333, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--50108551-a8e1-59a3-67af-b55475395aac", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3131", "content_hash": "122a9ac7b9471dc6", "object_json": { "id": "incident--50108551-a8e1-59a3-67af-b55475395aac", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3131", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni" ], "end_time": "2026-09-25T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 90, "start_time": "2026-09-25T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9915492957746479, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": 23.9997, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Facebook Messenger", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--0d391d24-0a29-5601-b0db-66ab15365ba2", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-25T07:05:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3129", "content_hash": "fec23e523b6dc8cd", "object_json": { "id": "incident--0d391d24-0a29-5601-b0db-66ab15365ba2", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3129", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-09-25T07:05:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.028056112224448898, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": 0, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--f734dc66-43e7-5fec-8592-643c723fb449", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3133", "content_hash": "c58bfcc68d1e26ef", "object_json": { "id": "incident--f734dc66-43e7-5fec-8592-643c723fb449", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3133", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni" ], "end_time": "2026-09-26T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-09-26T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9868073878627969, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": 23.9997, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Facebook Messenger", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--c4b17ff7-62cd-5d32-1d31-031fe2af44bc", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-26T00:50:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3132", "content_hash": "05a69fa98399df3a", "object_json": { "id": "incident--c4b17ff7-62cd-5d32-1d31-031fe2af44bc", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3132", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-09-26T21:35:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-09-26T00:50:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.08346213292117466, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": 20.75, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--06fc4712-94fa-5391-27e8-b23bfe7fb48e", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3135", "content_hash": "530f092f4f9d2905", "object_json": { "id": "incident--06fc4712-94fa-5391-27e8-b23bfe7fb48e", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3135", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni", "censoredplanet" ], "end_time": "2026-09-27T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-09-27T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9842931937172775, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [ "AS20485", "AS43727", "AS48287" ], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [ "bbc.com", "chat.openai.com", "chatgpt.com", "claude.ai", "facebook.com", "gemini.google.com", "getlantern.org", "google.com", "huggingface.co", "instagram.com", "medium.com", "nytimes.com", "openai.com", "protonvpn.com", "psiphon.ca", "reddit.com", "signal.org", "substack.com", "telegram.org", "theguardian.com", "tiktok.com", "tumblr.com", "twitter.com", "whatsapp.com", "youtube.com" ], "affected_services": [ "ChatGPT", "Claude", "Facebook", "Facebook Messenger", "Gemini", "Instagram", "ProtonVPN", "Signal", "Telegram", "TikTok", "Tor", "WhatsApp", "X", "YouTube" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--6f624583-2ee1-5a6c-c0b2-9dec46a71b35", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-27T07:00:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3134", "content_hash": "e9d531c19d6fabe9", "object_json": { "id": "incident--6f624583-2ee1-5a6c-c0b2-9dec46a71b35", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3134", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-09-27T10:40:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 67, "start_time": "2026-09-27T07:00:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 3 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.21666666666666665, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--b89578c5-0592-5f99-b57d-1d23aa40ce09", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3139", "content_hash": "4010d150e0edc8ff", "object_json": { "id": "incident--b89578c5-0592-5f99-b57d-1d23aa40ce09", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3139", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni", "censoredplanet" ], "end_time": "2026-09-28T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 90, "start_time": "2026-09-28T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9889807162534435, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [ "AS47541" ], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [ "bbc.com", "facebook.com", "instagram.com", "medium.com" ], "affected_services": [ "Facebook", "Facebook Messenger", "Instagram", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--80817e5d-d1df-59c1-03ca-135d7d67b493", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-28T00:40:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3137", "content_hash": "b14771ba7d0b8dbe", "object_json": { "id": "incident--80817e5d-d1df-59c1-03ca-135d7d67b493", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3137", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-09-28T23:40:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 67, "start_time": "2026-09-28T00:40:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 2 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.21911764705882353, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--cb859fc7-4343-51bd-de00-0cab3acec1c4", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3142", "content_hash": "a67a1043d3745d7d", "object_json": { "id": "incident--cb859fc7-4343-51bd-de00-0cab3acec1c4", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3142", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni" ], "end_time": "2026-09-29T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-09-29T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9827586206896551, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Facebook Messenger", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--583973c0-fae0-577f-7a72-cd961603fdac", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-29T03:40:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3140", "content_hash": "6c758124b8b010e1", "object_json": { "id": "incident--583973c0-fae0-577f-7a72-cd961603fdac", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3140", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-09-29T03:40:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.20357142857142857, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--12bf1db2-d2db-5745-9ca2-ffc41288d845", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3144", "content_hash": "0ae33076699a50f8", "object_json": { "id": "incident--12bf1db2-d2db-5745-9ca2-ffc41288d845", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3144", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni", "censoredplanet" ], "end_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9814814814814815, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [ "AS20485", "AS43727" ], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [ "bbc.com", "chat.openai.com", "chatgpt.com", "claude.ai", "facebook.com", "gemini.google.com", "getlantern.org", "google.com", "huggingface.co", "instagram.com", "medium.com", "nytimes.com", "openai.com", "protonvpn.com", "psiphon.ca", "reddit.com", "signal.org", "substack.com", "telegram.org", "theguardian.com", "tiktok.com", "tumblr.com", "twitter.com", "whatsapp.com", "youtube.com" ], "affected_services": [ "ChatGPT", "Claude", "Facebook", "Facebook Messenger", "Gemini", "Instagram", "ProtonVPN", "Signal", "Telegram", "TikTok", "Tor", "WhatsApp", "X", "YouTube" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--9d4649cc-6083-5831-86cd-a65e986cc5ad", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-09-30T07:35:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3143", "content_hash": "aa02a9c4f1ddb00a", "object_json": { "id": "incident--9d4649cc-6083-5831-86cd-a65e986cc5ad", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3143", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": "2026-09-30T19:15:00Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-09-30T07:35:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.12530712530712532, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--7c25d070-18b5-565f-c1a0-dc65d74a3b27", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3148", "content_hash": "b34f9e5a03f48ab2", "object_json": { "id": "incident--7c25d070-18b5-565f-c1a0-dc65d74a3b27", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3148", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni", "censoredplanet" ], "end_time": "2026-10-01T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 89, "start_time": "2026-10-01T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9849624060150376, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Facebook Messenger", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--79e5f4e7-d4bd-5d7f-e1fa-a9893aa3fb14", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-10-01T19:45:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3147", "content_hash": "4b61db3f2badaf35", "object_json": { "id": "incident--79e5f4e7-d4bd-5d7f-e1fa-a9893aa3fb14", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3147", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-10-01T19:45:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.04085801838610827, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--4ee8cd9c-ce63-528d-eea5-6a164a33373b", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3151", "content_hash": "e5fa6359c051bcf3", "object_json": { "id": "incident--4ee8cd9c-ce63-528d-eea5-6a164a33373b", "name": "Censorship detected in RU", "type": "incident", "title": "Censorship detected in RU", "value": "ru-2026-3151", "status": "suspected", "sources": [ "ooni" ], "end_time": "2026-10-02T23:59:59Z", "severity": "critical", "confidence": 90, "start_time": "2026-10-02T00:00:00Z", "description": null, "anomaly_rate": 0.9945945945945946, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "censorship", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [ "Facebook Messenger", "Signal", "Telegram", "Tor", "WhatsApp" ] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--b40ec85e-a777-5665-3d53-789a17870885", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-10-02T02:25:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3149", "content_hash": "b1a20aaacecbed19", "object_json": { "id": "incident--b40ec85e-a777-5665-3d53-789a17870885", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3149", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-10-02T02:25:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.08062015503875969, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } }, { "event_id": "ise-1569207b34e96beb8787b9a7", "stix_object_id": "incident--8ed7b82d-75b4-573b-6b12-2e00b846bbd3", "platform": "voidly-atlas", "observed_at": "2026-10-03T04:05:00.000Z", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3152", "content_hash": "18d504bdb318b62d", "object_json": { "id": "incident--8ed7b82d-75b4-573b-6b12-2e00b846bbd3", "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "type": "incident", "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Russia", "value": "ru-2026-3152", "status": "active", "sources": [ "ioda" ], "end_time": null, "severity": "critical", "confidence": 65, "start_time": "2026-10-03T04:05:00Z", "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Russia. 1 critical alerts recorded.", "anomaly_rate": 0.0142602495543672, "country_code": "RU", "country_name": "Russia", "spec_version": "2.1", "affected_asns": [], "incident_type": "disruption", "duration_hours": null, "affected_domains": [], "affected_services": [] } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-1f9ff8a045637f0512837d96", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS28709", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.880410826019152 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS28709" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-09-30T03:05:24.922Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:34.134Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-1f9ff8a045637f0512837d96", "stix_object_id": "incident--88870302-abf8-567e-70a0-6e0beb96fb54", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "VKONTAKTE-REGIONAL-CDN -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/28709-ru", "content_hash": "65e81ef75de6caa1", "object_json": { "id": "incident--88870302-abf8-567e-70a0-6e0beb96fb54", "name": "VKONTAKTE-REGIONAL-CDN -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 759294.5, "title": "VKONTAKTE-REGIONAL-CDN -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/28709-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/28709-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1518589 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-febe32b4df26b20fd4aff789", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS12722", "geography": "3438", "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.478036042419881 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS12722" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3438" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:16.597Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.153Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-febe32b4df26b20fd4aff789", "stix_object_id": "incident--6b357a05-6ac5-5546-2dce-f93305353b56", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "RECONN -- Moskva", "value": "geoasn/12722-3438", "content_hash": "757ca232749a2002", "object_json": { "id": "incident--6b357a05-6ac5-5546-2dce-f93305353b56", "name": "RECONN -- Moskva", "type": "incident", "score": 300631.5789473684, "title": "RECONN -- Moskva", "value": "geoasn/12722-3438", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/12722-3438", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1209600 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-9fb34fcba4e9011f0b554e3a", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS34552", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.411460491582797 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS34552" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:23.785Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:23.743Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-9fb34fcba4e9011f0b554e3a", "stix_object_id": "incident--948e4553-256b-5309-5f4f-c6fc4da44be8", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "name": "TKURAL-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/34552-ru", "content_hash": "9bf3e1f20c5408b6", "object_json": { "id": "incident--948e4553-256b-5309-5f4f-c6fc4da44be8", "name": "TKURAL-AS -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 2579053.3333333335, "title": "TKURAL-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/34552-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/34552-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1547432 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-a4c61685c56af3b0aa246e00", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS12846", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.338410195859793 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS12846" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.086Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.409Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-a4c61685c56af3b0aa246e00", "stix_object_id": "incident--ef85af3d-7601-5ac2-41f5-b345f34f1ec6", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "AS12846 -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/12846-ru", "content_hash": "ecc6b9a03f3d5778", "object_json": { "id": "incident--ef85af3d-7601-5ac2-41f5-b345f34f1ec6", "name": "AS12846 -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 2179766.614583333, "title": "AS12846 -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/12846-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/12846-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1350049 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-ac24b9f38ace21313081a13f", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS44533", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-07-29T11:05:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T11:05:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.419885598055268 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS44533" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.372Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.383Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-ac24b9f38ace21313081a13f", "stix_object_id": "incident--b1c3f34d-37e6-5e6e-9618-477485eba66e", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T11:05:00.000Z", "name": "Davydov-NET -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/44533-ru", "content_hash": "67087f18b46d1fd9", "object_json": { "id": "incident--b1c3f34d-37e6-5e6e-9618-477485eba66e", "name": "Davydov-NET -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 262956.52173913043, "title": "Davydov-NET -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/44533-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/44533-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1209600 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-b6992853c0b14b6257df3447", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS5573", "geography": "3480", "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.352198474119211 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS5573" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3480" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:17.361Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.757Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-b6992853c0b14b6257df3447", "stix_object_id": "incident--42b3cffa-4ab1-5dd1-4d19-a25662eb487e", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "KRASNET-AS -- Krasnoyarsk", "value": "geoasn/5573-3480", "content_hash": "76c09ba74e0bb49c", "object_json": { "id": "incident--42b3cffa-4ab1-5dd1-4d19-a25662eb487e", "name": "KRASNET-AS -- Krasnoyarsk", "type": "incident", "score": 2250081.6666666665, "title": "KRASNET-AS -- Krasnoyarsk", "value": "geoasn/5573-3480", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/5573-3480", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1350049 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-b6e3afb75afd4bf1bf193baf", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS12846", "geography": "3472", "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.338187766004681 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS12846" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3472" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:16.789Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.026Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-b6e3afb75afd4bf1bf193baf", "stix_object_id": "incident--c1ea6344-550e-5313-3aca-d05037d9b37b", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "AS12846 -- Altay", "value": "geoasn/12846-3472", "content_hash": "d40a09526f682585", "object_json": { "id": "incident--c1ea6344-550e-5313-3aca-d05037d9b37b", "name": "AS12846 -- Altay", "type": "incident", "score": 2178650.5026455023, "title": "AS12846 -- Altay", "value": "geoasn/12846-3472", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/12846-3472", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1350049 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-c294c416f7f69f12d2c5f5d2", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS196742", "geography": "3418", "started_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.76783820858804 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS196742" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3418" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-09-30T03:05:24.833Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:33.993Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-c294c416f7f69f12d2c5f5d2", "stix_object_id": "incident--61c36a6e-dd1d-54a2-a308-e62fa7b5c7bf", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "name": "EKRAN-AS -- Kaliningrad", "value": "geoasn/196742-3418", "content_hash": "b991f29dbeb3dc37", "object_json": { "id": "incident--61c36a6e-dd1d-54a2-a308-e62fa7b5c7bf", "name": "EKRAN-AS -- Kaliningrad", "type": "incident", "score": 585918.8461538461, "title": "EKRAN-AS -- Kaliningrad", "value": "geoasn/196742-3418", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/196742-3418", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1523389 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-d8e70f48110c61801870c3e0", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS49505", "geography": "3423", "started_at": "2026-07-29T14:40:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T14:40:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.021002675043153 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS49505" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3423" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.525Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.501Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-d8e70f48110c61801870c3e0", "stix_object_id": "incident--ccf8413d-a2ab-5571-32b5-85f0246d547d", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T14:40:00.000Z", "name": "SELECTEL -- City of St. Petersburg", "value": "geoasn/49505-3423", "content_hash": "7b5ac4b1e19f9a90", "object_json": { "id": "incident--ccf8413d-a2ab-5571-32b5-85f0246d547d", "name": "SELECTEL -- City of St. Petersburg", "type": "incident", "score": 104953.88933440257, "title": "SELECTEL -- City of St. Petersburg", "value": "geoasn/49505-3423", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/49505-3423", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1208100 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-dfc4eccb3da2e45e33333491", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS49476", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-09-17T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-17T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.377849265341756 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS49476" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-09-30T03:05:25.553Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:34.941Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-dfc4eccb3da2e45e33333491", "stix_object_id": "incident--4de4547f-ac67-5ae1-1312-d567675abc78", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-17T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "MTT-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/49476-ru", "content_hash": "35d451af9e2ec4e4", "object_json": { "id": "incident--4de4547f-ac67-5ae1-1312-d567675abc78", "name": "MTT-AS -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 2386981.6666666665, "title": "MTT-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/49476-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/49476-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1432189 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-f8624cd975c8ff89f193fa74", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS5573", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.352198474119211 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS5573" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:16.428Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.332Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-f8624cd975c8ff89f193fa74", "stix_object_id": "incident--3c6e608e-f46c-5e82-9052-b921a6c8b6d2", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "KRASNET-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/5573-ru", "content_hash": "789a08626aa1ebbf", "object_json": { "id": "incident--3c6e608e-f46c-5e82-9052-b921a6c8b6d2", "name": "KRASNET-AS -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 2250081.6666666665, "title": "KRASNET-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/5573-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/5573-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1350049 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-024ae7c869a97b2f6a787b2d", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS204720", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-09-21T15:45:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-21T15:45:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.054587956698519 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS204720" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-10-02T02:59:09.076Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:36.277Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-024ae7c869a97b2f6a787b2d", "stix_object_id": "incident--ed1c313b-569f-5ffb-6a8a-0aa788a35be2", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-21T15:45:00.000Z", "name": "CDNetworks -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/204720-ru", "content_hash": "5742691d4129a316", "object_json": { "id": "incident--ed1c313b-569f-5ffb-6a8a-0aa788a35be2", "name": "CDNetworks -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 113392.44680851063, "title": "CDNetworks -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/204720-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/204720-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1065889 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-3f436e433c785afb8fc1baf9", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS45054", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-08-12T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-08-12T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.421695108171448 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS45054" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:23.342Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:23.182Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-3f436e433c785afb8fc1baf9", "stix_object_id": "incident--c7cdba4d-fbeb-5c6d-b5a8-2511e6d10fcb", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-08-12T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "Metrobit-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/45054-ru", "content_hash": "f0428331986825ed", "object_json": { "id": "incident--c7cdba4d-fbeb-5c6d-b5a8-2511e6d10fcb", "name": "Metrobit-AS -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 2640553.3333333335, "title": "Metrobit-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/45054-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/45054-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1584332 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-57725dee6768392dd8d52f07", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS39134", "geography": "3438", "started_at": "2026-09-10T18:20:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-10T18:20:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.304402913237346 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS39134" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3438" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-09-26T10:52:07.363Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:31.947Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-57725dee6768392dd8d52f07", "stix_object_id": "incident--60d66fdb-b4a7-5b3c-1df6-06e83c905f17", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-10T18:20:00.000Z", "name": "UNITEDNET -- Moskva", "value": "geoasn/39134-3438", "content_hash": "b0c89b3e8cd4fca3", "object_json": { "id": "incident--60d66fdb-b4a7-5b3c-1df6-06e83c905f17", "name": "UNITEDNET -- Moskva", "type": "incident", "score": 201558.33333333334, "title": "UNITEDNET -- Moskva", "value": "geoasn/39134-3438", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/39134-3438", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1814025 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-5c8a259933e5f282570cce9a", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS49476", "geography": "3438", "started_at": "2026-09-17T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-17T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.377849265341756 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS49476" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3438" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-09-30T03:05:25.561Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:34.974Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-5c8a259933e5f282570cce9a", "stix_object_id": "incident--520c1a0e-ce43-5504-51a2-ba120dd6e687", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-17T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "MTT-AS -- Moskva", "value": "geoasn/49476-3438", "content_hash": "abbfb0315b56b1f3", "object_json": { "id": "incident--520c1a0e-ce43-5504-51a2-ba120dd6e687", "name": "MTT-AS -- Moskva", "type": "incident", "score": 2386981.6666666665, "title": "MTT-AS -- Moskva", "value": "geoasn/49476-3438", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/49476-3438", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1432189 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-5e9f2b0bdd4ec521217f5a5b", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS196742", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.76783820858804 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS196742" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-09-30T03:05:24.826Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:34.015Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-5e9f2b0bdd4ec521217f5a5b", "stix_object_id": "incident--9a614c4a-a46c-5f4f-5aad-6aa12abd6d34", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "name": "EKRAN-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/196742-ru", "content_hash": "84555600d3b72b31", "object_json": { "id": "incident--9a614c4a-a46c-5f4f-5aad-6aa12abd6d34", "name": "EKRAN-AS -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 585918.8461538461, "title": "EKRAN-AS -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/196742-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/196742-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1523389 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-85f56f61f4c91ad9f6a0e355", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS204720", "geography": "3438", "started_at": "2026-09-21T15:45:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-21T15:45:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.146901484616637 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS204720" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3438" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-10-02T01:42:06.164Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:36.267Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-85f56f61f4c91ad9f6a0e355", "stix_object_id": "incident--96278837-7070-558b-ca2e-001ff7d4ddab", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-21T15:45:00.000Z", "name": "CDNetworks -- Moskva", "value": "geoasn/204720-3438", "content_hash": "7db6abc675a82435", "object_json": { "id": "incident--96278837-7070-558b-ca2e-001ff7d4ddab", "name": "CDNetworks -- Moskva", "type": "incident", "score": 140248.55263157893, "title": "CDNetworks -- Moskva", "value": "geoasn/204720-3438", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/204720-3438", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1065889 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-8b31dc6b833fb48f033d94dd", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS39134", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-09-10T18:20:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-10T18:20:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.304402913237346 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS39134" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-09-26T10:52:07.370Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:31.955Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-8b31dc6b833fb48f033d94dd", "stix_object_id": "incident--22a1054d-7fc8-5cfe-da7e-3b78dec9a977", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-10T18:20:00.000Z", "name": "UNITEDNET -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/39134-ru", "content_hash": "0048cd2032b2aa41", "object_json": { "id": "incident--22a1054d-7fc8-5cfe-da7e-3b78dec9a977", "name": "UNITEDNET -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 201558.33333333334, "title": "UNITEDNET -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/39134-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/39134-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1814025 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-8b9b9d4ce4a9a39dc9a16d77", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS12722", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.452155612143538 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS12722" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:17.102Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.908Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-8b9b9d4ce4a9a39dc9a16d77", "stix_object_id": "incident--c034f0fe-4173-51df-1990-eb98f228dd16", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "RECONN -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/12722-ru", "content_hash": "e64bafd7125e93e5", "object_json": { "id": "incident--c034f0fe-4173-51df-1990-eb98f228dd16", "name": "RECONN -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 283239.6694214876, "title": "RECONN -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/12722-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/12722-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1209600 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-8dfea164bd2d05cfcc1f5cb8", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS45054", "geography": "3423", "started_at": "2026-08-12T10:00:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-08-12T10:00:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.421695108171448 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS45054" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3423" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:23.349Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:23.192Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-8dfea164bd2d05cfcc1f5cb8", "stix_object_id": "incident--6ca410a6-47d3-5776-0827-cbed88df5911", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-08-12T10:00:00.000Z", "name": "Metrobit-AS -- City of St. Petersburg", "value": "geoasn/45054-3423", "content_hash": "f97f450a8a398a42", "object_json": { "id": "incident--6ca410a6-47d3-5776-0827-cbed88df5911", "name": "Metrobit-AS -- City of St. Petersburg", "type": "incident", "score": 2640553.3333333335, "title": "Metrobit-AS -- City of St. Petersburg", "value": "geoasn/45054-3423", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/45054-3423", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1584332 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-90f7deb8d6d0bcd35b4715b9", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS34552", "geography": "3459", "started_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.411460491582797 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS34552" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "3459" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:23.795Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:23.721Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-90f7deb8d6d0bcd35b4715b9", "stix_object_id": "incident--8d77c50b-c76b-5f90-3685-ca43cdaf0010", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "name": "TKURAL-AS -- Sverdlovsk", "value": "geoasn/34552-3459", "content_hash": "30373621bb807c51", "object_json": { "id": "incident--8d77c50b-c76b-5f90-3685-ca43cdaf0010", "name": "TKURAL-AS -- Sverdlovsk", "type": "incident", "score": 2579053.3333333335, "title": "TKURAL-AS -- Sverdlovsk", "value": "geoasn/34552-3459", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/34552-3459", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1547432 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-99e7b160ca1c63c9bac0169b", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS49505", "geography": "RU", "started_at": "2026-07-29T14:50:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T14:50:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 31, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.04000000000000001, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.006526971234462 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS49505" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [ "RU" ], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.591Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.528Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-99e7b160ca1c63c9bac0169b", "stix_object_id": "incident--062e94db-ccae-5d9d-9f05-76074783cec7", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T14:50:00.000Z", "name": "SELECTEL -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/49505-ru", "content_hash": "bd629c0bb2c33a36", "object_json": { "id": "incident--062e94db-ccae-5d9d-9f05-76074783cec7", "name": "SELECTEL -- Russian Federation", "type": "incident", "score": 101513.24085750316, "title": "SELECTEL -- Russian Federation", "value": "geoasn/49505-ru", "method": "median", "location": "geoasn/49505-RU", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1207500 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-20078c458f794fb3c70986c8", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS12722", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.452155612143538 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS12722" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:15.865Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:16.463Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-20078c458f794fb3c70986c8", "stix_object_id": "incident--62329e24-0845-5893-c880-d4b12f5ef635", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "name": "AS12722 (RECONN)", "value": "asn/12722", "content_hash": "c7612272a4c2fb1e", "object_json": { "id": "incident--62329e24-0845-5893-c880-d4b12f5ef635", "name": "AS12722 (RECONN)", "type": "incident", "score": 283239.6694214876, "title": "AS12722 (RECONN)", "value": "asn/12722", "method": "median", "location": "asn/12722", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1209600 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-2182e2a04ad2ff4e6476699e", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS28709", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-08-19T15:40:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-08-19T15:40:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.900364670378861 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS28709" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:25.992Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:26.392Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-2182e2a04ad2ff4e6476699e", "stix_object_id": "incident--511ba4cc-8c09-56dd-c7a9-36548222f7bf", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-08-19T15:40:00.000Z", "name": "AS28709 (VKONTAKTE-REGIONAL-CDN)", "value": "asn/28709", "content_hash": "bdbbb7f58698ca81", "object_json": { "id": "incident--511ba4cc-8c09-56dd-c7a9-36548222f7bf", "name": "AS28709 (VKONTAKTE-REGIONAL-CDN)", "type": "incident", "score": 794994.5, "title": "AS28709 (VKONTAKTE-REGIONAL-CDN)", "value": "asn/28709", "method": "median", "location": "asn/28709", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1589989 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-2d549ba4ef586287aff5e3ca", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS45054", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-08-11T23:10:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-08-11T23:10:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.4322562599207584 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS45054" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:22.994Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:22.615Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-2d549ba4ef586287aff5e3ca", "stix_object_id": "incident--21f0869e-cd95-59c2-68d8-da71409308e0", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-08-11T23:10:00.000Z", "name": "AS45054 (Metrobit-AS)", "value": "asn/45054", "content_hash": "f48a657d6530b3c9", "object_json": { "id": "incident--21f0869e-cd95-59c2-68d8-da71409308e0", "name": "AS45054 (Metrobit-AS)", "type": "incident", "score": 2705553.3333333335, "title": "AS45054 (Metrobit-AS)", "value": "asn/45054", "method": "median", "location": "asn/45054", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1623332 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-814e8c3bf9ee4eb217a8a556", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS39134", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-08-12T12:25:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-08-12T12:25:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.343071404830795 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS39134" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:23.445Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:23.292Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-814e8c3bf9ee4eb217a8a556", "stix_object_id": "incident--a6cbe297-4c8b-5972-6529-1864cf5f0cbc", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-08-12T12:25:00.000Z", "name": "AS39134 (UNITEDNET)", "value": "asn/39134", "content_hash": "07d0d304d1a67402", "object_json": { "id": "incident--a6cbe297-4c8b-5972-6529-1864cf5f0cbc", "name": "AS39134 (UNITEDNET)", "type": "incident", "score": 220327.868852459, "title": "AS39134 (UNITEDNET)", "value": "asn/39134", "method": "median", "location": "asn/39134", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1209600 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-4169843f07d18a2d91d2f938", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS44533", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-07-29T11:05:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T11:05:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 4.9962863277452465 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS44533" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.388Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.373Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-4169843f07d18a2d91d2f938", "stix_object_id": "incident--4cfe7bb5-79dc-58db-f63b-86a1861cba91", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T11:05:00.000Z", "name": "AS44533 (Davydov-NET)", "value": "asn/44533", "content_hash": "714fdae938e359e4", "object_json": { "id": "incident--4cfe7bb5-79dc-58db-f63b-86a1861cba91", "name": "AS44533 (Davydov-NET)", "type": "incident", "score": 99147.54098360657, "title": "AS44533 (Davydov-NET)", "value": "asn/44533", "method": "median", "location": "asn/44533", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1209600 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-53e20714146668553ce1a94f", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS49505", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-07-29T14:10:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T14:10:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 4.470065082521543 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS49505" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.435Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.425Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-53e20714146668553ce1a94f", "stix_object_id": "incident--6157971b-54be-5066-42d2-ba0d1961791c", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-29T14:10:00.000Z", "name": "AS49505 (SELECTEL)", "value": "asn/49505", "content_hash": "226b33e6c0008152", "object_json": { "id": "incident--6157971b-54be-5066-42d2-ba0d1961791c", "name": "AS49505 (SELECTEL)", "type": "incident", "score": 29515.515222482438, "title": "AS49505 (SELECTEL)", "value": "asn/49505", "method": "median", "location": "asn/49505", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1209900 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-f87d6dd3823845de3befaece", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS5573", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.374213425250696 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS5573" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:15.675Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:16.067Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-f87d6dd3823845de3befaece", "stix_object_id": "incident--6ba16635-7e45-519f-bbd1-faa429390f05", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "name": "AS5573 (KRASNET-AS)", "value": "asn/5573", "content_hash": "4dcc2f755d06af5a", "object_json": { "id": "incident--6ba16635-7e45-519f-bbd1-faa429390f05", "name": "AS5573 (KRASNET-AS)", "type": "incident", "score": 2367081.6666666665, "title": "AS5573 (KRASNET-AS)", "value": "asn/5573", "method": "median", "location": "asn/5573", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1420249 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-ee07fa6959710b94b4785a44", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS196742", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 5.76783820858804 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS196742" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-09-30T03:05:24.819Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:34.003Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-ee07fa6959710b94b4785a44", "stix_object_id": "incident--68f9432b-2975-5702-1b84-ff1ba9442fd8", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-09-16T08:40:00.000Z", "name": "AS196742 (EKRAN-AS)", "value": "asn/196742", "content_hash": "d917a14c2489b7d1", "object_json": { "id": "incident--68f9432b-2975-5702-1b84-ff1ba9442fd8", "name": "AS196742 (EKRAN-AS)", "type": "incident", "score": 585918.8461538461, "title": "AS196742 (EKRAN-AS)", "value": "asn/196742", "method": "median", "location": "asn/196742", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1523389 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-927d311629c15f1b0f37d2d2", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS34552", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.411460491582797 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS34552" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:23.775Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:23.732Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-927d311629c15f1b0f37d2d2", "stix_object_id": "incident--de867844-8df0-5a47-40f9-a59f61d03515", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-08-12T20:15:00.000Z", "name": "AS34552 (TKURAL-AS)", "value": "asn/34552", "content_hash": "0cc89bc9271cd027", "object_json": { "id": "incident--de867844-8df0-5a47-40f9-a59f61d03515", "name": "AS34552 (TKURAL-AS)", "type": "incident", "score": 2579053.3333333335, "title": "AS34552 (TKURAL-AS)", "value": "asn/34552", "method": "median", "location": "asn/34552", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1547432 } } ], "derivations": [] }, { "id": "ise-60f85de5cb6d797ab1379c46", "entity_type": "asn", "entity_key": "AS12846", "geography": null, "started_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "last_observed_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "status": "resolved", "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION", "trajectory": "RESOLVED", "stress_score": 30, "confidence": 0, "components": { "anomaly": 0, "breadth": 0.020000000000000004, "persistence": 1, "corroboration": 0, "baseline_deviation": 1 }, "confidence_factors": { "method_diversity": 0.25, "source_agreement": 0, "timestamp_overlap": 0, "infrastructure_overlap": 0, "alternative_explanations": 0.6, "statistical_significance": 0 }, "baseline": { "signals": [ "ioda.bgp.score" ], "signal_count": 1 }, "current_measurement": { "ioda.bgp.score": 6.360425146683529 }, "deviation": { "max_anomaly": 0, "max_deviation": 1 }, "affected_asns": [ "AS12846" ], "affected_services": [], "affected_regions": [], "source_count": 1, "alternative_explanations": [ "single-source signal", "low statistical significance", "insufficient corroboration", "ambiguous geography", "isolated observation" ], "observation_count": 1, "ingestion_method": null, "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:15.556Z", "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:15.995Z", "evidence": [ { "event_id": "ise-60f85de5cb6d797ab1379c46", "stix_object_id": "incident--f6fe6a19-d849-5eca-5ab0-0064165f1973", "platform": "ioda", "observed_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z", "name": "AS12846 ()", "value": "asn/12846", "content_hash": "1cb3dadef382d302", "object_json": { "id": "incident--f6fe6a19-d849-5eca-5ab0-0064165f1973", "name": "AS12846 ()", "type": "incident", "score": 2293110.364583333, "title": "AS12846 ()", "value": "asn/12846", "method": "median", "location": "asn/12846", "datasource": "bgp", "outage_type": "connectivity-drop", "spec_version": "2.1", "duration_seconds": 1420249 } } ], "derivations": [] } ], "context": [], "audit": { "principle": "Source observations stay attributed to their feed. Stress scores, classifications, and this pack are H3XA-derived and cite the inputs that produced them.", "weights": { "anomaly": 0.3, "breadth": 0.2, "persistence": 0.15, "corroboration": 0.2, "baseline_deviation": 0.15 }, "derivation_ids": [], "observation_ids": [ "incident--972380da-c68e-51d3-d5f3-a4433a188c2f", "incident--a2768311-0dca-5eb4-f60f-91886bd0929c", "incident--61fe454d-6639-5c4a-e262-1e668969d9a9", "incident--b3adc8b8-feef-53aa-5d9e-ffe1abb152fc", "incident--358c35b9-d4f7-572b-57a2-11f8fbe3fc13", "incident--87fe6026-77de-5fb6-72a7-5fc0ca44857d", "incident--43b12eff-efed-51a1-5415-686ee2bf7278", "incident--d2353bf0-3183-5a31-aea2-0f53c72594ee", "incident--bc8fabe1-2212-5797-ffac-dfa2d90be8ef", "incident--ef8fb152-7e25-5500-ec87-3ac2b871218c", "incident--925cec8b-3da7-5760-81a4-15937ad4080d", "incident--a1c7bb79-fdb0-51f4-fd0f-3e8c0196bf5d", "incident--69dcf051-754a-5216-4897-9edbd254ea42", "incident--f72e988e-c64f-5348-1911-6f51a94c0e24", "incident--cc9c735f-6042-554b-1714-55862841044e", "incident--4e6010b3-0067-50f8-166a-4b956c51ea11", "incident--c43f1b0b-9a34-5ff1-2107-28dbf90402b4", "incident--e4134f70-d520-5061-2243-0c094a3a2bfc", "incident--6dffb24e-c747-5fe5-ad91-dee2b78f588a", "incident--50108551-a8e1-59a3-67af-b55475395aac", "incident--0d391d24-0a29-5601-b0db-66ab15365ba2", "incident--f734dc66-43e7-5fec-8592-643c723fb449", "incident--c4b17ff7-62cd-5d32-1d31-031fe2af44bc", "incident--06fc4712-94fa-5391-27e8-b23bfe7fb48e", "incident--6f624583-2ee1-5a6c-c0b2-9dec46a71b35", "incident--b89578c5-0592-5f99-b57d-1d23aa40ce09", "incident--80817e5d-d1df-59c1-03ca-135d7d67b493", "incident--cb859fc7-4343-51bd-de00-0cab3acec1c4", "incident--583973c0-fae0-577f-7a72-cd961603fdac", "incident--12bf1db2-d2db-5745-9ca2-ffc41288d845", "incident--9d4649cc-6083-5831-86cd-a65e986cc5ad", "incident--7c25d070-18b5-565f-c1a0-dc65d74a3b27", "incident--79e5f4e7-d4bd-5d7f-e1fa-a9893aa3fb14", "incident--4ee8cd9c-ce63-528d-eea5-6a164a33373b", "incident--b40ec85e-a777-5665-3d53-789a17870885", "incident--8ed7b82d-75b4-573b-6b12-2e00b846bbd3", "incident--88870302-abf8-567e-70a0-6e0beb96fb54", "incident--6b357a05-6ac5-5546-2dce-f93305353b56", "incident--948e4553-256b-5309-5f4f-c6fc4da44be8", "incident--ef85af3d-7601-5ac2-41f5-b345f34f1ec6", "incident--b1c3f34d-37e6-5e6e-9618-477485eba66e", "incident--42b3cffa-4ab1-5dd1-4d19-a25662eb487e", "incident--c1ea6344-550e-5313-3aca-d05037d9b37b", "incident--61c36a6e-dd1d-54a2-a308-e62fa7b5c7bf", "incident--ccf8413d-a2ab-5571-32b5-85f0246d547d", "incident--4de4547f-ac67-5ae1-1312-d567675abc78", "incident--3c6e608e-f46c-5e82-9052-b921a6c8b6d2", "incident--ed1c313b-569f-5ffb-6a8a-0aa788a35be2", "incident--c7cdba4d-fbeb-5c6d-b5a8-2511e6d10fcb", "incident--60d66fdb-b4a7-5b3c-1df6-06e83c905f17", "incident--520c1a0e-ce43-5504-51a2-ba120dd6e687", "incident--9a614c4a-a46c-5f4f-5aad-6aa12abd6d34", "incident--96278837-7070-558b-ca2e-001ff7d4ddab", "incident--22a1054d-7fc8-5cfe-da7e-3b78dec9a977", "incident--c034f0fe-4173-51df-1990-eb98f228dd16", "incident--6ca410a6-47d3-5776-0827-cbed88df5911", "incident--8d77c50b-c76b-5f90-3685-ca43cdaf0010", "incident--062e94db-ccae-5d9d-9f05-76074783cec7", "incident--62329e24-0845-5893-c880-d4b12f5ef635", "incident--511ba4cc-8c09-56dd-c7a9-36548222f7bf", "incident--21f0869e-cd95-59c2-68d8-da71409308e0", "incident--a6cbe297-4c8b-5972-6529-1864cf5f0cbc", "incident--4cfe7bb5-79dc-58db-f63b-86a1861cba91", "incident--6157971b-54be-5066-42d2-ba0d1961791c", "incident--6ba16635-7e45-519f-bbd1-faa429390f05", "incident--68f9432b-2975-5702-1b84-ff1ba9442fd8", "incident--de867844-8df0-5a47-40f9-a59f61d03515", "incident--f6fe6a19-d849-5eca-5ab0-0064165f1973" ], "cross_domain": "Attached air, maritime, reference-CTI, and proprietary nodes are co-occurrence notes. They are not inputs to the stress score." } }