{
  "service": "h3xa",
  "kind": "executive-briefing",
  "generated_at": "2026-10-28T18:08:33.024Z",
  "model_version": "h3xa-iss-1.1",
  "situation": {
    "id": "sit-543682989dadfc522cbab6ef",
    "scope_type": "country",
    "scope_key": "BG",
    "geography": "BG",
    "title": "Internet disruption in BG",
    "started_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z",
    "last_observed_at": "2026-09-23T22:05:00.000Z",
    "status": "resolved",
    "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
    "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
    "stress_score": 31,
    "confidence": 48,
    "event_count": 16,
    "affected_asns": [
      "AS43205",
      "AS20657"
    ],
    "affected_services": [],
    "affected_regions": [
      "361",
      "365",
      "358",
      "362",
      "360",
      "382",
      "377",
      "359",
      "381",
      "385",
      "368",
      "BG"
    ],
    "source_count": 2,
    "record_origin": "unrecorded",
    "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:31.079Z",
    "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:39:44.107Z"
  },
  "events": [
    {
      "id": "ise-ec357dbff364d1f1e99b6d06",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "365",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 5.839550348947515
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "365"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:16.564Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:18.182Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-ec357dbff364d1f1e99b6d06",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--1c40d4bb-de23-5652-5d5f-ee4493c94230",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Grad Sofiya",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-365",
          "content_hash": "db8d3fae41f90e69",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--1c40d4bb-de23-5652-5d5f-ee4493c94230",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Grad Sofiya",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 691114.0476190476,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Grad Sofiya",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-365",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-365",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 893132
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-296f43c101c98999bfe86bfb",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "BG",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 5.871734987433428
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "BG"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:17.534Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.651Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-296f43c101c98999bfe86bfb",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--75c3d114-92fb-5c35-2605-051614e225b4",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Bulgaria",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-bg",
          "content_hash": "c10d648534f3624f",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--75c3d114-92fb-5c35-2605-051614e225b4",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Bulgaria",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 744276.6666666666,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Bulgaria",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-bg",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-BG",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 893132
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-2cf24f029d51d34a2107941f",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "381",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.258294017840145
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "381"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.180Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.464Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-2cf24f029d51d34a2107941f",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--56c72b8f-aec2-5b86-3c13-d190b87d344e",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Dobrich",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-381",
          "content_hash": "30a90757255703e1",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--56c72b8f-aec2-5b86-3c13-d190b87d344e",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Dobrich",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 1812565.787037037,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Dobrich",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-381",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-381",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1350049
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-2f1c8a9b058344c1bca075a8",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "382",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.270528467601547
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "382"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:17.740Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.141Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-2f1c8a9b058344c1bca075a8",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--3780034c-c526-520f-945d-dabfe7ce7b90",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Varna",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-382",
          "content_hash": "23ee3c77ee8e612e",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--3780034c-c526-520f-945d-dabfe7ce7b90",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Varna",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 1864353.380952381,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Varna",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-382",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-382",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1350049
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-b4222c6581b7f190c1ec8a46",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "377",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.188006527044729
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "377"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:17.758Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.157Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-b4222c6581b7f190c1ec8a46",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--f545283a-695e-53b7-4480-d2671570f8dd",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Yambol",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-377",
          "content_hash": "772c015bac29ffdf",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--f545283a-695e-53b7-4480-d2671570f8dd",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Yambol",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 1541722.62345679,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Yambol",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-377",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-377",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1350049
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-cc7c3a3ad744331274458249",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "362",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.342858452060995
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "362"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:17.246Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.796Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-cc7c3a3ad744331274458249",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--4bc1b165-2cb1-54d1-0968-dc1045ea9c4c",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Plovdiv",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-362",
          "content_hash": "3cbc1c50592a50c5",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--4bc1b165-2cb1-54d1-0968-dc1045ea9c4c",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Plovdiv",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 2202207.5886524823,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Plovdiv",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-362",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-362",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1350049
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-d5706c46ef850c947822495d",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "368",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 5.491578571383401
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "368"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.200Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.479Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-d5706c46ef850c947822495d",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--91c86c16-964f-5f67-4f9f-3b7a611b3ba5",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Gabrovo",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-368",
          "content_hash": "8673a61fd92a97a4",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--91c86c16-964f-5f67-4f9f-3b7a611b3ba5",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Gabrovo",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 310153.8461538462,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Gabrovo",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-368",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-368",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1209600
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-45b4c67005ade440f57bd3bd",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "358",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.318774734073275
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "358"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:17.233Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.814Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-45b4c67005ade440f57bd3bd",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--c0040992-3be5-55d5-e58a-7bd7bec90804",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Sliven",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-358",
          "content_hash": "23c54114301b36c8",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--c0040992-3be5-55d5-e58a-7bd7bec90804",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Sliven",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 2083408.9506172838,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Sliven",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-358",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-358",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1350049
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-4a0ee2181ea311589d9d61b7",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "359",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.352198474119211
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "359"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.166Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.456Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-4a0ee2181ea311589d9d61b7",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--63cbc192-f67c-5b63-60d3-93e383e5f799",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Haskovo",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-359",
          "content_hash": "937f2a15f93d9046",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--63cbc192-f67c-5b63-60d3-93e383e5f799",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Haskovo",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 2250081.6666666665,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Haskovo",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-359",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-359",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1350049
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-8aa60bd0a970e53942c13184",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "361",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.042431024961167
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "361"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:16.546Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:16.959Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-8aa60bd0a970e53942c13184",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--4a548bd4-a635-5758-3765-c45319cfd63b",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Pazardzhik",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-361",
          "content_hash": "e05fec2ae031d588",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--4a548bd4-a635-5758-3765-c45319cfd63b",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Pazardzhik",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 1102632.0987654321,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Pazardzhik",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-361",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-361",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 893132
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-9612bd0152d27beb747cfd0e",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS20657",
      "geography": "BG",
      "started_at": "2026-08-10T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-08-10T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 5.843404470034971
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS20657"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "BG"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:20.938Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:20.943Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-9612bd0152d27beb747cfd0e",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--9980416c-5e32-538c-b7f5-594a05d8ae3e",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-08-10T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "ATLANTIS -- Bulgaria",
          "value": "geoasn/20657-bg",
          "content_hash": "90aa28d1741ebbe4",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--9980416c-5e32-538c-b7f5-594a05d8ae3e",
            "name": "ATLANTIS -- Bulgaria",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 697274.6031746031,
            "title": "ATLANTIS -- Bulgaria",
            "value": "geoasn/20657-bg",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/20657-BG",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1757132
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-a939fea1e32171ef47a6e46b",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "385",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.352198474119211
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "385"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:18.190Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.472Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-a939fea1e32171ef47a6e46b",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--11322094-7b4a-58e7-c44c-19bc1ccfbcec",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Blagoevgrad",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-385",
          "content_hash": "152c503eacb0d09c",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--11322094-7b4a-58e7-c44c-19bc1ccfbcec",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Blagoevgrad",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 2250081.6666666665,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Blagoevgrad",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-385",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-385",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1350049
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-b4153ed23bbecc114e4e5ea4",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": "360",
      "started_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 31,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.04000000000000001,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 6.3067604564844215
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "360"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:17.721Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:17.129Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-b4153ed23bbecc114e4e5ea4",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--0fa3979d-fdee-59f6-35c2-73b3f266cfb8",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z",
          "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Stara Zagora",
          "value": "geoasn/43205-360",
          "content_hash": "1c9c8fb143ccf435",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--0fa3979d-fdee-59f6-35c2-73b3f266cfb8",
            "name": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Stara Zagora",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 2026563.6203090507,
            "title": "BULSATCOM-BG-AS -- Stara Zagora",
            "value": "geoasn/43205-360",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "geoasn/43205-360",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1350049
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-3a1faf0d00b93627ca910355",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS43205",
      "geography": null,
      "started_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 30,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.020000000000000004,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 5.902697678128221
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS43205"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "ambiguous geography",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:15.898Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:15.936Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-3a1faf0d00b93627ca910355",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--0ef03ef6-9be0-5a11-56a9-ba4b23f03c86",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-07-28T14:30:00.000Z",
          "name": "AS43205 (BULSATCOM-BG-AS)",
          "value": "asn/43205",
          "content_hash": "29a6798ace2ab806",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--0ef03ef6-9be0-5a11-56a9-ba4b23f03c86",
            "name": "AS43205 (BULSATCOM-BG-AS)",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 799276.6666666666,
            "title": "AS43205 (BULSATCOM-BG-AS)",
            "value": "asn/43205",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "asn/43205",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 959132
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-116fff4fba0da27720c5e035",
      "entity_type": "asn",
      "entity_key": "AS20657",
      "geography": null,
      "started_at": "2026-08-09T11:45:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-08-09T11:45:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 30,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0,
        "breadth": 0.020000000000000004,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 1
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "ioda.bgp.score"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "ioda.bgp.score": 5.856778388906672
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0,
        "max_deviation": 1
      },
      "affected_asns": [
        "AS20657"
      ],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration",
        "ambiguous geography",
        "isolated observation"
      ],
      "observation_count": 1,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:19.996Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:19.525Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-116fff4fba0da27720c5e035",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--78aade42-9478-5757-534a-979f9a37334b",
          "platform": "ioda",
          "observed_at": "2026-08-09T11:45:00.000Z",
          "name": "AS20657 (ATLANTIS)",
          "value": "asn/20657",
          "content_hash": "0f4244168cd9e243",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--78aade42-9478-5757-534a-979f9a37334b",
            "name": "AS20657 (ATLANTIS)",
            "type": "incident",
            "score": 719080.9523809523,
            "title": "AS20657 (ATLANTIS)",
            "value": "asn/20657",
            "method": "median",
            "location": "asn/20657",
            "datasource": "bgp",
            "outage_type": "connectivity-drop",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "duration_seconds": 1812084
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    },
    {
      "id": "ise-37b65e8e9e042e2693f867b4",
      "entity_type": "country",
      "entity_key": "BG",
      "geography": "BG",
      "started_at": "2026-08-11T21:20:00.000Z",
      "last_observed_at": "2026-09-23T22:05:00.000Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "classification": "UNKNOWN_DISRUPTION",
      "trajectory": "RESOLVED",
      "stress_score": 20,
      "confidence": 0,
      "components": {
        "anomaly": 0.11475543354517041,
        "breadth": 0.020000000000000004,
        "persistence": 1,
        "corroboration": 0,
        "baseline_deviation": 0.10988250261936836
      },
      "confidence_factors": {
        "method_diversity": 0.25,
        "source_agreement": 0,
        "timestamp_overlap": 0,
        "infrastructure_overlap": 0,
        "alternative_explanations": 0.6,
        "statistical_significance": 0.11475543354517041
      },
      "baseline": {
        "signals": [
          "voidly.anomaly_rate"
        ],
        "signal_count": 1
      },
      "current_measurement": {
        "voidly.anomaly_rate": 0.011111111111111112
      },
      "deviation": {
        "max_anomaly": 0.11475543354517041,
        "max_deviation": 0.10988250261936836
      },
      "affected_asns": [],
      "affected_services": [],
      "affected_regions": [
        "BG"
      ],
      "source_count": 1,
      "alternative_explanations": [
        "single-source signal",
        "low statistical significance",
        "insufficient corroboration"
      ],
      "observation_count": 4,
      "ingestion_method": null,
      "first_seen": "2026-08-29T22:33:22.957Z",
      "updated_at": "2026-10-03T23:50:22.568Z",
      "evidence": [
        {
          "event_id": "ise-37b65e8e9e042e2693f867b4",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--064743c0-08d0-5956-0878-a1d72b957cc0",
          "platform": "voidly-atlas",
          "observed_at": "2026-08-11T21:20:00.000Z",
          "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
          "value": "bg-2026-0051",
          "content_hash": "aafff9a9ff3ba744",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--064743c0-08d0-5956-0878-a1d72b957cc0",
            "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
            "type": "incident",
            "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
            "value": "bg-2026-0051",
            "status": "active",
            "sources": [
              "ioda"
            ],
            "end_time": "2026-08-11T22:15:00Z",
            "severity": "critical",
            "confidence": 67,
            "start_time": "2026-08-11T21:20:00Z",
            "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Bulgaria. 2 critical alerts recorded.",
            "anomaly_rate": 0.012254901960784314,
            "country_code": "BG",
            "country_name": "Bulgaria",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "affected_asns": [],
            "incident_type": "disruption",
            "duration_hours": null,
            "affected_domains": [],
            "affected_services": []
          }
        },
        {
          "event_id": "ise-37b65e8e9e042e2693f867b4",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--6c613dc4-da62-5f39-c517-2e34d0ae9f9d",
          "platform": "voidly-atlas",
          "observed_at": "2026-08-12T21:15:00.000Z",
          "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
          "value": "bg-2026-0052",
          "content_hash": "41e1aa49df08e328",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--6c613dc4-da62-5f39-c517-2e34d0ae9f9d",
            "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
            "type": "incident",
            "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
            "value": "bg-2026-0052",
            "status": "active",
            "sources": [
              "ioda"
            ],
            "end_time": null,
            "severity": "critical",
            "confidence": 65,
            "start_time": "2026-08-12T21:15:00Z",
            "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Bulgaria. 1 critical alerts recorded.",
            "anomaly_rate": 0.12213740458015267,
            "country_code": "BG",
            "country_name": "Bulgaria",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "affected_asns": [],
            "incident_type": "disruption",
            "duration_hours": null,
            "affected_domains": [],
            "affected_services": []
          }
        },
        {
          "event_id": "ise-37b65e8e9e042e2693f867b4",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--ff1258b7-80f6-5848-bc51-dc01365be0d6",
          "platform": "voidly-atlas",
          "observed_at": "2026-08-27T00:25:00.000Z",
          "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
          "value": "bg-2026-0059",
          "content_hash": "e5e4ce66985b18b1",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--ff1258b7-80f6-5848-bc51-dc01365be0d6",
            "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
            "type": "incident",
            "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
            "value": "bg-2026-0059",
            "status": "active",
            "sources": [
              "ioda"
            ],
            "end_time": null,
            "severity": "critical",
            "confidence": 65,
            "start_time": "2026-08-27T00:25:00Z",
            "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Bulgaria. 1 critical alerts recorded.",
            "anomaly_rate": 0.011111111111111112,
            "country_code": "BG",
            "country_name": "Bulgaria",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "affected_asns": [],
            "incident_type": "disruption",
            "duration_hours": 0,
            "affected_domains": [],
            "affected_services": []
          }
        },
        {
          "event_id": "ise-37b65e8e9e042e2693f867b4",
          "stix_object_id": "incident--57edb7e1-84e7-5dc9-e423-a9787a360566",
          "platform": "voidly-atlas",
          "observed_at": "2026-09-23T22:05:00.000Z",
          "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
          "value": "bg-2026-0072",
          "content_hash": "b609f5dfa244dd27",
          "object_json": {
            "id": "incident--57edb7e1-84e7-5dc9-e423-a9787a360566",
            "name": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
            "type": "incident",
            "title": "Internet connectivity disruption in Bulgaria",
            "value": "bg-2026-0072",
            "status": "active",
            "sources": [
              "ioda"
            ],
            "end_time": null,
            "severity": "critical",
            "confidence": 65,
            "start_time": "2026-09-23T22:05:00Z",
            "description": "IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Bulgaria. 1 critical alerts recorded.",
            "anomaly_rate": 0.011111111111111112,
            "country_code": "BG",
            "country_name": "Bulgaria",
            "spec_version": "2.1",
            "affected_asns": [],
            "incident_type": "disruption",
            "duration_hours": 0,
            "affected_domains": [],
            "affected_services": []
          }
        }
      ],
      "derivations": []
    }
  ],
  "context": [],
  "audit": {
    "principle": "Source observations stay attributed to their feed. Stress scores, classifications, and this pack are H3XA-derived and cite the inputs that produced them.",
    "weights": {
      "anomaly": 0.3,
      "breadth": 0.2,
      "persistence": 0.15,
      "corroboration": 0.2,
      "baseline_deviation": 0.15
    },
    "derivation_ids": [],
    "observation_ids": [
      "incident--1c40d4bb-de23-5652-5d5f-ee4493c94230",
      "incident--75c3d114-92fb-5c35-2605-051614e225b4",
      "incident--56c72b8f-aec2-5b86-3c13-d190b87d344e",
      "incident--3780034c-c526-520f-945d-dabfe7ce7b90",
      "incident--f545283a-695e-53b7-4480-d2671570f8dd",
      "incident--4bc1b165-2cb1-54d1-0968-dc1045ea9c4c",
      "incident--91c86c16-964f-5f67-4f9f-3b7a611b3ba5",
      "incident--c0040992-3be5-55d5-e58a-7bd7bec90804",
      "incident--63cbc192-f67c-5b63-60d3-93e383e5f799",
      "incident--4a548bd4-a635-5758-3765-c45319cfd63b",
      "incident--9980416c-5e32-538c-b7f5-594a05d8ae3e",
      "incident--11322094-7b4a-58e7-c44c-19bc1ccfbcec",
      "incident--0fa3979d-fdee-59f6-35c2-73b3f266cfb8",
      "incident--0ef03ef6-9be0-5a11-56a9-ba4b23f03c86",
      "incident--78aade42-9478-5757-534a-979f9a37334b",
      "incident--064743c0-08d0-5956-0878-a1d72b957cc0",
      "incident--6c613dc4-da62-5f39-c517-2e34d0ae9f9d",
      "incident--ff1258b7-80f6-5848-bc51-dc01365be0d6",
      "incident--57edb7e1-84e7-5dc9-e423-a9787a360566"
    ],
    "cross_domain": "Attached air, maritime, reference-CTI, and proprietary nodes are co-occurrence notes. They are not inputs to the stress score."
  }
}